Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.063342 0.071593 0.080035 0.089285 0.099106 0.109195 0.120314
2025-08-10 0.049982 0.062102 0.075115 0.089985 0.106379 0.123781 0.143537
2025-08-17 0.040902 0.055245 0.071289 0.090248 0.111747 0.135115 0.162191
2025-08-24 0.032487 0.047811 0.065668 0.087440 0.112763 0.140852 0.173958
2025-08-31 0.026140 0.041951 0.061121 0.085182 0.113800 0.146103 0.184717
2025-09-07 0.022442 0.038889 0.059522 0.086036 0.118133 0.154848 0.199205
2025-09-14 0.019736 0.036769 0.058813 0.087731 0.123269 0.164372 0.214464
2025-09-21 0.018216 0.036060 0.059748 0.091334 0.130599 0.176393 0.232565
2025-09-28 0.015977 0.034065 0.058815 0.092440 0.134783 0.184627 0.246199
2025-10-05 0.016210 0.035700 0.062716 0.099705 0.146533 0.201861 0.270400
2025-10-12 0.013710 0.032912 0.060438 0.098874 0.148176 0.206960 0.280282
2025-10-19 0.012397 0.031832 0.060409 0.100890 0.153302 0.216198 0.295024
2025-10-26 0.010457 0.029606 0.058787 0.100933 0.156182 0.223043 0.307357
2025-11-02 0.009076 0.028170 0.058222 0.102369 0.160854 0.232130 0.322475
2025-11-09 0.007616 0.026357 0.056962 0.102757 0.164116 0.239450 0.335452
2025-11-16 0.005664 0.023189 0.053388 0.099752 0.162824 0.241029 0.341390
2025-11-23 0.004154 0.020523 0.050356 0.097322 0.162146 0.243264 0.348039
2025-11-30 0.003415 0.019409 0.049720 0.098243 0.165844 0.250934 0.361286
2025-12-07 0.002902 0.018724 0.049736 0.100069 0.170727 0.260082 0.376345
2025-12-14 0.002711 0.018868 0.051149 0.103945 0.178370 0.272730 0.395720
2025-12-21 0.002218 0.018012 0.050772 0.105134 0.182365 0.280749 0.409401
2025-12-28 0.002519 0.019637 0.054801 0.112934 0.195361 0.300236 0.437265
2026-01-04 0.001856 0.018056 0.053062 0.112043 0.196512 0.304639 0.446499